Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 6:09:00 P.M. to 11/09/2026, 6:10:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
16% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 68.18
Unexplained QUAI: 352.45
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 15% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
7.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
11
22.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
62
Asset volume
420.62 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x00220BD68A83351cd0993b92903556327dAfCF08.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 421 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x00220BD68A83351cd0993b92903556327dAfCF08.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (84% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (16%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
68.18 QUAI across 11 visible rows
0x00220BD68A83351cd0993b92903556327dAfCF08
Net receiver
Unknown type
10.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004B993718823F5448697151121fcf6626fA83D1
Net receiver
Unknown type
9.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Net receiver
Unknown type
7.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00108F6570E8DA669d41c0eD733D3fb43849a868
Net receiver
Unknown type
6.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate50 tx
420.62 QUAI • 62 addresses
11/09/2026, 6:09:22 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/09/2026, 6:08:18 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
57.49 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/09/2026, 6:10:25 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
126.98 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/09/2026, 6:07:14 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/09/2026, 6:11:29 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
67.14 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/09/2026, 6:06:11 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
380.37 QUAI • 8 addresses
11/09/2026, 6:05:07 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
14.97 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 6:12:33 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10.46 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 6:09:01 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00220BD68A83351cd0993b92903556327dAfCF08
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
5.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 6:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Tx: 0x0060006a43cfa714c07f97d56aeda81b619be9c7de4e718d8869aff2b014f84c
5.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 6:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
Tx: 0x002b002fe60f090dd652cefbfdc41df2a638c78c2122629880f841ee93e70ba7
6.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 6:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00108F6570E8DA669d41c0eD733D3fb43849a868
Tx: 0x004d003130333e07e2b4c3dc2edfbae0850c5c013de7e6b1f10b6073589f26ab
4.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 6:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001a52e946DfF9d7F5d8e98bda1bb8F9CEfCc058
Tx: 0x00270054180874ee83c029b9d66cfb1a90f418237b0e8dfe02b1fff4f5e2d6fa
5.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 6:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x001e000be100ade20845022723663fa6859e247aa4ed1eb7d200a373739c5180
4.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 6:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00307b9d6B5323F0EEdECa238BC1723cc3CE08D3
Tx: 0x0048005ed1a0ef3bc968e2307a0bc8201957219a3582dbb4b95c2cc97916ee7d
9.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 6:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004B993718823F5448697151121fcf6626fA83D1
Tx: 0x0047002f52f2480b1b86f79c4845735b54cc2f1160204fd58f35c46b75af9e1d
4.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 6:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0042A3B70352EDDEfBacB6Ae7329702F59Ec9544
Tx: 0x005900283e18a5f0cf282665bf40f73b0606cf9c4eeb6d9ed4d3d7c9ed49c9dd
7.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 6:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x007a005c2c34a0fde754ee20b6643f1380ad832bb847d2f581396c3bb6a20f81
4.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 6:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007C8DE1bE082D62C6dA8cD95B6B9347d9A20dCA
Tx: 0x0011000ae4d0c5070beebdd003ec386e0c7b28aa0c5886eaa7e02a9253615c05
10.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 6:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00220BD68A83351cd0993b92903556327dAfCF08
Tx: 0x00320017d02332db8d48d62e76d1226e1b56208d541e6d40f5cefb43c997fdda