Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 5:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 5:14:00 P.M. to 11/09/2026, 5:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
84% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 302.83
Unexplained QUAI: 58.96
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
1.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
361.78 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00078c770dEf4806cC4B9e973275A221eF656B26.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 362 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00078c770dEf4806cC4B9e973275A221eF656B26.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 5:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
302.83 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00078c770dEf4806cC4B9e973275A221eF656B26
Net sender
Unknown type
198.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
Net sender
Unknown type
104.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 302.83 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate1 tx
361.78 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:14:04 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:13:00 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
302.83 QUAI • 3 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:15:07 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:11:56 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:16:11 P.M.
-3 min
7 tx
302.37 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:10:52 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:17:15 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:09:49 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
198.12 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 5:14:34 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00078c770dEf4806cC4B9e973275A221eF656B26
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
198.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 5:14:34 P.M.
From: 0x00078c770dEf4806cC4B9e973275A221eF656B26
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0036002ac21239e8e50778c14bf1f16b49a75f296a42aaae4d7f93dc55c2b19f
104.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 5:14:34 P.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0016002a1457cf0c432c5209b56fcf3ce404244beb291f6483cf487b59987755