Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 5:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 5:10:00 P.M. to 11/09/2026, 5:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 302.37
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
302.37 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 302 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 5:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
302.37 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Net receiver
Unknown type
191.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
66.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
13.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
Net receiver
Unknown type
9.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:09:49 P.M.
-1 min
56 tx
2,187.71 QUAI • 68 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:08:44 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
302.37 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:10:52 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:07:40 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:11:56 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:06:37 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:13:00 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate12 tx
217,231.66 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/09/2026, 5:05:33 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
191.15 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 5:10:46 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
9.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 5:10:46 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
Tx: 0x00690002e7176bd58c333f0b22f6a19170b8727d7db24e1222d35101e3d31e3e
7.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 5:10:46 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00108F6570E8DA669d41c0eD733D3fb43849a868
Tx: 0x00480051a38a81150d776af63b13ba981c7676acd5b13e5195e47933b7b13f59
4.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 5:10:46 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001a52e946DfF9d7F5d8e98bda1bb8F9CEfCc058
Tx: 0x0002002c1c698359ee529dcb62b734fbebcc8478e55020b635b409e4978ca039
191.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 5:10:46 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Tx: 0x000600702cdaf175c937b3b22362f462f557b7407a6dc7439af746956df0bfe5
13.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 5:10:46 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0020001737079986cf040b72945f73f86db7b392f4d785c16fe16bec274b74ad
9.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 5:10:46 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x00650071caf9a4d14548e3271b9f822cc6bd516b6075bbf9e273f0e1e70576b1
66.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 5:10:46 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00720028daddb170f66e9db231659a5f82fe115ef9c2ed16b4587d54dfcb66f8