Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 2:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 2:22:00 P.M. to 11/09/2026, 2:23:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 329,294.73
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 19% of explained volume
Relative context
5.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
17
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
329,294.73 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 329295 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 56
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 2:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
329,294.73 QUAI across 17 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
Net sender
Unknown type
61,999.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net sender
Unknown type
59,996.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net sender
Unknown type
44,353.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000a74d0112BA14793459786F57b5b2D653932CC
Net sender
Unknown type
42,615.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 329,294.73 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:21:26 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate17 tx
329,294.73 QUAI • 30 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:22:31 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:20:22 P.M.
+2 min
25 tx
82,015.69 QUAI • 44 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:23:36 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:19:13 P.M.
+3 min
20 tx
29,086.64 QUAI • 30 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:24:41 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:18:08 P.M.
+4 min
15 tx
15,013.07 QUAI • 30 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:25:46 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
61,999.12 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
17 transactions
16,801.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00570001dfb1ac1c89042f0b9e87e7b7721aa52a10f1e0fcb5dbfc10521e15db
61,999.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0048004aa34effc23d2e6c10f3bf80f1e1d0c8f99c57ec8b43d12ce3f9448d43
8,592.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x00369F48Dc4F9f35326c761EEe01290fBaDF59D0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00640075cb6fb5094afb770088aa703eca7f2a97b49ae3bc762a2346184c9929
6,153.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x002cC3925959f2F413875F35a3C1CF2151e75C81
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f006206388bccaead1b0ee4f59ad37dc1184c9aa6586e2d253458c4f6eab0
5,875.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x0049AE59719CE9Ac694DB69cD02C6EeE5449E9B9
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006100795777d7a90393b6a011f6c50f42411c822f45ca6aef63ae20a5b1abee
9,243.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a0070ee688cdb7a52d45766a90ea97dd0faac92ce2c152615289bb4934e68
42,615.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x000a74d0112BA14793459786F57b5b2D653932CC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017004f0e13d1c4795103fe41af2fcf9bb5f84fdaa78a80396286a9d79f0ce0
9,408.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x0009f06c8f7FDaF1eDf05DabB6bb20c5597B0AA6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a0042a19bb2d1e571c53fac024895d17eb12c9352ee8e725ce71437333423
6,636.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x0079Bd3163bB40E066F34C94777061e9748E89D7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00560045b971e167e6b24619aa971738a86286e9546e2e1c7c60f2c61bf21587
59,996.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e00501e525ed6aae68ed667eb776e0c6271d99490fd94f5f82b4afb3db8ed
8,455.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x001222dBb9c8fC7Bc09225C8cf949FcE27b488A4
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012004fc1d6b46d9e0479c3c24ffa34c432fa448c58d701afd5694253fb8dfd
12,432.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x005DEF5C17Fba6A02c5899A09edEaBA218506388
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0065003393330c97b81b2f64a795e6acae67a26ddf4579cefde5bf20d9c83a5b
9,436.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x001653fB6051d3AB25B7aacd2D883c5e631BeEeC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e0010916a3c249031ac728d72bfb1035618a2c23219bb900514c215f5a50b
10,578.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046007929ceedebcfd7d4a41ca6a5fc431c6412d036de2ea5c2b4119472f74f
6,158.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00210036ed6c2fb335ba9c8fe627ef4dd00635f7a65729905ecf9b7ce8cc9b61
10,555.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x000176E21C3f53da5C3df2C9F03C23C939F0B661
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d0077c5c274d35cd585d645c855469b6941043e976b0ca60121a9d19a7ad2
44,353.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:22:05 P.M.
From: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e0068d5e88a3064e4c676f30cc14aeea76b80bc59e894def3418fab63848d