Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 2:10:00 P.M. to 11/09/2026, 2:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 129.05
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
129.05 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 129 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
129.05 QUAI across 9 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
60.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
15.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
Net receiver
Unknown type
10.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
Net receiver
Unknown type
9.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate50 tx
557.09 QUAI • 65 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:09:30 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
129.05 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:10:33 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:08:25 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:11:37 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:07:20 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:12:41 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:06:16 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:13:52 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
60.66 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:10:30 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
9.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:10:30 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
Tx: 0x0039006c3133cacc85f8324daeaa10aa083ed98680bf6746c2185de91ed9406d
4.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:10:30 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007812e263F6bd7e1dC20Ecd892964ba22310554
Tx: 0x002b00282a40172d811b769f6d610e2b58496da81f868a5b29002d533b2fd9a0
5.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:10:30 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Tx: 0x000e0047432162b25f05b5e6740425b921eabbeac9c1b14275df982574b1dc1e
10.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:10:30 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
Tx: 0x007a004a0398d4ea1214f9d5007f41be53d7f21f73475e97cc455f21f98d9430
8.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:10:30 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x00350058845cc87e9cb40b52588aa6c42777e3ad106da0ddd2321b0744440aba
8.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:10:30 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00108F6570E8DA669d41c0eD733D3fb43849a868
Tx: 0x001c0012f2f47ecfb1105e43029c42678a1d88798cceb9990c7641a616270893
60.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:10:30 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x004a00454c0b460be6e67ee93c337adb330c27dde11cb7908c26d715331564f2
5.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:10:30 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001a52e946DfF9d7F5d8e98bda1bb8F9CEfCc058
Tx: 0x0027006fcf25045bd6957f0da56e1b961d41adf55ce80a90c94c268b53e58bbe
15.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:10:30 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x001500150f4662b3535de9c0cdfa9af174a7fc5c7cd06279a1a3881104135efc