Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 11:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 11:59:00 A.M. to 11/09/2026, 12:00:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2.39
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
1.19 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0 • 0x006FB23A436B85F4D930B4182709221b33369785.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0 • 0x006FB23A436B85F4D930B4182709221b33369785.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 11:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.39 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006FB23A436B85F4D930B4182709221b33369785
Net sender
Unknown type
1.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000a8eb85ad1Afb74C9A2b331a72611de128406f
Net sender
Unknown type
1.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1.15 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:58:41 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
3.53 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:57:38 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
1.19 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:59:45 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
94.17 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:56:32 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1.2 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 12:00:49 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1.18 QUAI • 8 addresses
11/09/2026, 12:01:52 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate2 tx
489.03 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:55:27 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 12:02:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1.2 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 11:59:53 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006FB23A436B85F4D930B4182709221b33369785
To: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 11:59:53 A.M.
From: 0x006FB23A436B85F4D930B4182709221b33369785
To: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
Tx: 0x00370011a2e249a395d094eb2ff4dd15cf732bc6fbf1c44ca6304630ae302b90
1.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 11:59:05 A.M.
From: 0x000a8eb85ad1Afb74C9A2b331a72611de128406f
To: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
Tx: 0x003a00544ad07e42f2d06a62ee16ab8ef1ae5b99f2f0fc7e11fc2e9742217336
