Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 11:44:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 11:44:00 A.M. to 11/09/2026, 11:45:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
68% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6.02
Unexplained QUAI: 2.77
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
6.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
8.79 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003F4374A5d68025407Ba4A0138d9e6758b3B08E • 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 9 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003F4374A5d68025407Ba4A0138d9e6758b3B08E • 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 11:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (32% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003F4374A5d68025407Ba4A0138d9e6758b3B08E
Net sender
Unknown type
6.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
Net receiver
Unknown type
6.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1.41 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:43:39 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
1.41 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:42:33 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
8.79 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:44:42 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:45:48 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate3 tx
82.71 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:41:27 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1.38 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:46:53 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1.42 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:40:24 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1.38 QUAI • 2 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:47:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6.02 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 11:44:14 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003F4374A5d68025407Ba4A0138d9e6758b3B08E
To: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
6.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 11:44:14 A.M.
From: 0x003F4374A5d68025407Ba4A0138d9e6758b3B08E
To: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
Tx: 0x0056001c5f1129b169d235e593b3a8933bd523be0f6b12183a4d186aaf5e8167
