Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 11:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 11:41:00 A.M. to 11/09/2026, 11:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 82.73
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
58x previous minute
58x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
82.71 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0058041d5Adf2bc6734D653620b9B008f9117384.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 83 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0058041d5Adf2bc6734D653620b9B008f9117384.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 11:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
79.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0058041d5Adf2bc6734D653620b9B008f9117384
Net receiver
Unknown type
79.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.81 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0016c47760f56f8e6d367951c6D9b5c4EDEdbCB0
Net sender
Unknown type
1.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048f83FA4a65a489487Fb51831634910fDe5EDA
Net sender
Unknown type
1.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
82.71 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:41:27 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
1.42 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:40:24 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate5 tx
260,326.44 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:39:20 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1.41 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:42:33 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:38:15 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1.41 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:43:39 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
4.32 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:37:11 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
8.79 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 11:44:42 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
79.92 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 11:41:17 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0058041d5Adf2bc6734D653620b9B008f9117384
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 11:41:52 A.M.
From: 0x0016c47760f56f8e6d367951c6D9b5c4EDEdbCB0
To: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
Tx: 0x00780020d5db9f895702a347b3aa65b86a78cf8d6aa5294065a5dbb142c2830f
1.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 11:41:17 A.M.
From: 0x0048f83FA4a65a489487Fb51831634910fDe5EDA
To: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
Tx: 0x001600600771bc9724ad0e7980134a8158fe8c5c4173ceffac62bb844338dd53
79.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 11:41:17 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0058041d5Adf2bc6734D653620b9B008f9117384
Tx: 0x006a000ed5a9be6c98f53982f7d58427edd5ed7ee9f4bf09088ae419f1313d01