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Spike bucket

11/09/2026, 11:34:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/09/2026, 11:34:00 A.M. to 11/09/2026, 11:35:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
21% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4.37
Unexplained QUAI: 16.6
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
20.97 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0 • 0x002eaaC790d48c0f443812C98be01E4a1dfF6235.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 21 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0 • 0x002eaaC790d48c0f443812C98be01E4a1dfF6235.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 11:34:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (79% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (21%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
Net receiver
Unknown type
4.37 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002eaaC790d48c0f443812C98be01E4a1dfF6235
Net sender
Unknown type
1.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005179d41Beee67060a421fF70b8A8CDC27a26cC
Net sender
Unknown type
1.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001eB851ff3A9b3b44CD58F24C190362fD69ebca
Net sender
Unknown type
1.46 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

1.46 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 11:34:33 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002eaaC790d48c0f443812C98be01E4a1dfF6235
To: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0

All transfers in this selected minute

3 transactions
1.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 11:34:56 A.M.
From: 0x001eB851ff3A9b3b44CD58F24C190362fD69ebca
To: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
Tx: 0x0040004227e36006d6121dc9eced01a59f81ba7c3378d47e719558304960df28
1.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 11:34:33 A.M.
From: 0x002eaaC790d48c0f443812C98be01E4a1dfF6235
To: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
Tx: 0x005c002f00da8f207927af3fac0001ea4e4f23808ec5846fefd88f8761caf8df
1.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 11:34:15 A.M.
From: 0x005179d41Beee67060a421fF70b8A8CDC27a26cC
To: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
Tx: 0x00590019b00effc93e94babe76c1554196cbaf351a5fed89e1d251e608eec85d