Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 7:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 7:04:00 A.M. to 11/09/2026, 7:05:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
4% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,594.47
Unexplained QUAI: 64,223.21
Explained QI: 3.09
Unexplained QI: 398.18
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
6.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
2
22.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
66,817.68 QUAI
401.28 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b • 0x004BD4dce98C04Fd1C833eA22b47BCEe73a1bd3D.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 66818 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b • 0x004BD4dce98C04Fd1C833eA22b47BCEe73a1bd3D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 7:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
Net sender
Unknown type
2,594.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004BD4dce98C04Fd1C833eA22b47BCEe73a1bd3D
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,594.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net sender
Unknown type
3.09 QI across 1 visible row
0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.09 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
5,552.17 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/09/2026, 7:03:35 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/09/2026, 7:02:30 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate9 tx
66,817.68 QUAI • 26 addresses
11/09/2026, 7:04:39 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
10.21 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/09/2026, 7:05:43 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
8,748.87 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 7:01:27 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
10.47 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 7:06:47 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/09/2026, 7:00:23 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/09/2026, 7:07:50 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,594.47 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 7:04:10 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x004BD4dce98C04Fd1C833eA22b47BCEe73a1bd3D
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
3.09 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 7:04:29 A.M.
From: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
To: 0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3
Tx: 0x001b008886b629336db9f1521ecb799c7b9eafbbaebdc7a1202023460f19cc0f
2,594.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 7:04:10 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x004BD4dce98C04Fd1C833eA22b47BCEe73a1bd3D
Tx: 0x006900584de753c94655048aa332aea3d3341951f9dda84bfdae9c83f81904ae