Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 3:43:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 3:43:00 A.M. to 11/09/2026, 3:44:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 124.63
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 402.81
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
124.63 QUAI
402.81 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F • 0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 125 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F • 0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3.
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F -> 0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 3:43:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net sender
Unknown type
406.03 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3
Net receiver
Unknown type
406.03 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
124.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003AbC514b49c21c119db085C9B92A95DD9D2902
Net receiver
Unknown type
124.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F → 0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3
2 repeated flows • 402.81 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
1,651.16 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/09/2026, 3:42:52 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/09/2026, 3:41:47 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
124.63 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 3:43:56 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/09/2026, 3:40:43 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/09/2026, 3:45:00 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/09/2026, 3:39:38 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
50.55 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/09/2026, 3:46:04 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/09/2026, 3:38:35 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
402.81 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 3:43:17 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
To: 0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
3.21 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 3:43:29 A.M.
From: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
To: 0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3
Tx: 0x000d00d438ea4d79992552111dcda4aea79086f7a15b4c7fb1efb211374ca71f
402.81 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 3:43:17 A.M.
From: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
To: 0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3
Tx: 0x0043005924cc6bc5fb664e28fd50285c1636b7ba1a97bb9ae9c97844630adcda
124.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 3:43:17 A.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x003AbC514b49c21c119db085C9B92A95DD9D2902
Tx: 0x00700021700fad8e66c79e1fd50c33ce77dae62a42075605501024e90f191531