Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 2:37:00 A.M. to 11/09/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,463.52
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.5x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
1,529.78 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1530 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
6,688.7 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,910.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,774.82 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,023.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004A630994Ba96bEc447B465dB34579ba8195B59
Net receiver
Unknown type
778.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,529.78 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:37:06 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
3,113.36 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:36:02 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
6,933.74 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:38:12 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
20,304.85 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:34:58 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:39:18 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
7,053.66 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:33:54 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate12 tx
22,312.8 QUAI • 28 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:40:23 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:32:50 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,910.58 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:37:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
5,910.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:37:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
Tx: 0x00680059c8e8a46a7f38127349d74e2107d287fc212289772159de9ade599f6c
1,023.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:37:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260
Tx: 0x00290033ca420de649df9b2209ca93376fe1411de831f0da120471beed588f36
751.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:37:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003562fca1121F1B3275f0c6D1F82a0Cd1fed6A9
Tx: 0x006c0072dac9cf444de37ea3a45fa0acd85e75e1bd1e2d7c46b3b955c0948324
778.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:37:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004A630994Ba96bEc447B465dB34579ba8195B59
Tx: 0x007900178930b836c8a7324f041b7bc96784aa4a4dd175c93dce291a2fa7d06d
