Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 2:23:00 A.M. to 11/09/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,710.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 117.35
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
1.1x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
1,408.96 QUAI
117.35 QI
Avg confidence
65.8%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1409 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
7,071.63 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,159.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,102.46 QUAI across 3 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
1,536.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x003162872d831DfCDF29FE4f0175F8995795f580
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,536.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 1,536.2 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,408.96 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:23:11 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,339.98 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:22:07 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
10,710.29 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:24:15 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate8 tx
14,129.08 QUAI • 30 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:21:03 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
671.25 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:25:19 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:19:58 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
7,775.73 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:26:23 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
1,208.87 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:18:54 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,159.46 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:23:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
199.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:23:50 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0039914E4d63E46B89D3b7Ce347C2C8690BCba6f
Tx: 0x00370033d6430accc1b8aaba3698415af379e6b6afbdffb5d9b05369347ae3be
1,219.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:23:50 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
Tx: 0x0071002a2dc8863decd93df8c1bae463ecfa3e91f49b65883e46536ba51c8911
117.35 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:23:39 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x0042A3B70352EDDEfBacB6Ae7329702F59Ec9544
Tx: 0x005d0013ca746701c46a80566350b19f1a9d03548aaf45a44087eaa53ab42b96
747.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:23:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Tx: 0x007e0079569e929ea2dfdf47d6fdf1cd17ec60c7e10e728e8f26c829a4605bbe
6,159.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:23:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
Tx: 0x000e0070a56fa50bf93259f802dee159528e066a30062931854983fc82645508
713.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:23:13 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
Tx: 0x003e00085b00d45010441a818c73c0b0b35bf3db4633c92891dd0fa256f1b3d0
136 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:23:13 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001Eda6B985a28e6ce542825bC5839f5Ab8E89d4
Tx: 0x00680008b78c8e8dff5aef0a124e48e22f49dd4e9e975765815e100ab9419f98
1,536.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:23:13 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x003162872d831DfCDF29FE4f0175F8995795f580
Tx: 0x007b00696ebdf578b9cc1a8e07b9cc0421fa9f239ca346c503126326eb194bf1
