Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 2:20:00 A.M. to 11/09/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,129.08
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 2.5
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 87% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
12x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
14,129.08 QUAI
2.5 QI
Avg confidence
65.8%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 14129 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
13,869.39 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508
Net sender
Unknown type
12,313.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0032Ea42bFbfED78045Bc75C4Ed9BDBdd89aB9a2
Net sender
Unknown type
582.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002fb9d5b4F9bf35664398b65686dB2a021A5326
Net sender
Unknown type
429.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
Net sender
Unknown type
328.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 13,869.39 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:19:58 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
1,208.87 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:18:54 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
14,129.08 QUAI • 30 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:21:03 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
545.6 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:17:50 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
1,339.98 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:22:07 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:16:46 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,408.96 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:23:11 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate9 tx
26,305.82 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:15:43 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
12,313.56 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:20:20 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
2.5 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:20:33 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x003b002dcdd64d1db723da3010d019c132350ab2a06e7f821ff1a3392a9ec876
119.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:20:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001c9765Baa98a952401E23a32055617bCE29d78
Tx: 0x005e002b470a4d8a9aea6bfd7cc53e5814a16f25a10f605a644e4b95c214965e
140.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:20:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00343233F1fE7A0C2E94240F812BcDC4fb063B05
Tx: 0x006c0065abcaf7f8ad02ee72352aff79205a7a9e8f03c379e3eb7c8535243616
12,313.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:20:20 A.M.
From: 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f0049d88bbeed2b0184f07616a7b96ce8bf65b9079566e5731cb4719cdc8f
328.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:20:20 A.M.
From: 0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002400419651b452b8bbcd64a3e14978f901178abf95dfd0fadfc938b24deaa9
214.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:20:20 A.M.
From: 0x003DDC55C4B6815F859f8495080F16e5d5e80dBA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00760017f5a11e8c4bdda19a94508d3cafc358630168df312300674b783c3bfc
582.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:20:20 A.M.
From: 0x0032Ea42bFbfED78045Bc75C4Ed9BDBdd89aB9a2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00450002fb91deb7c61a219144bf206bc074d33d39d8088f725416793155af5e
429.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:20:20 A.M.
From: 0x002fb9d5b4F9bf35664398b65686dB2a021A5326
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005006e771ca26d4fe209c00cd86b2126d2ba10d74bf4b042e85a30383bc4d4