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Spike bucket

11/09/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/09/2026, 2:15:00 A.M. to 11/09/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

23% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 6,024.79

Unexplained QUAI: 20,281.03

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume

Relative context

7.0x above local average

1.0x next minute

Largest nearby bucket

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

55.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

26,305.82 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + low confidence + 26306 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 50

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows

Confidence low • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Thin source coverage

Last updated: 11/09/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.

Coverage gap high (77% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (23%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752

Net sender

Unknown type

4,741.4 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6

Net receiver

Unknown type

4,310.71 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F

Net sender

Unknown type

1,067.87 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00180199fd8acE48A179b407f98e5dfdBEC25d89

Net receiver

Unknown type

795.96 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002fb9d5b4F9bf35664398b65686dB2a021A5326

Net receiver

Unknown type

430.69 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 9. The remaining 4 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.