Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 2:04:00 A.M. to 11/09/2026, 2:05:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,791.21
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
5,791.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002727Ab62F7d56f632714BE3F12b1ED3a00CCF6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5791 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002727Ab62F7d56f632714BE3F12b1ED3a00CCF6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,748.07 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002727Ab62F7d56f632714BE3F12b1ED3a00CCF6
Net sender
Unknown type
2,469.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
Net sender
Unknown type
1,019.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007f0d23D2bdf62152BeFa76D68F22e7cbe9fF17
Net sender
Unknown type
696.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
676.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,748.07 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:03:55 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:02:51 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
5,791.21 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:04:59 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
3,168.06 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:01:47 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate9 tx
6,132.69 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:06:04 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
2,350.75 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:00:43 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
803.75 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/09/2026, 2:07:07 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
1,890.65 QUAI • 8 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:59:38 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,469.69 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:04:05 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002727Ab62F7d56f632714BE3F12b1ED3a00CCF6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
676.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:04:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Tx: 0x00710033f4dc230554d251a43d0b3328ad8ec9ec92e3e4cc24b29064a47f45d8
366.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:04:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
Tx: 0x007f002994f1f82d40551fecaaeae5ad8546b767eab31953b165bd3938f71c99
1,019.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:04:05 A.M.
From: 0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a007e0d39ba4add10441166f59ddfbf01f67f45bf538114605e9e818a0a4d
562.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:04:05 A.M.
From: 0x0025c1f0DeA4c465Afdd41cAaB6E2cC6F530A800
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004800719fa226087ecc0c1e30c56f781a8d908a44b9016a9aa8971ad529bde5
2,469.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:04:05 A.M.
From: 0x002727Ab62F7d56f632714BE3F12b1ED3a00CCF6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b0075e5a9dbde8e470e5fecddd1072d070b14ccc12e0679ae3988e17e8e6e
696.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 2:04:05 A.M.
From: 0x007f0d23D2bdf62152BeFa76D68F22e7cbe9fF17
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d0048adba21af43845548a01430192d737c175e99987587b421cd66469496