Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 1:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 1:23:00 A.M. to 11/09/2026, 1:24:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
15% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,189.93
Unexplained QUAI: 7,000.7
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.2x previous minute
6.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
2
28.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
8,190.63 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 8191 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 1:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
853.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
Net receiver
Unknown type
853.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
336.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004E6916b16Ee15974d0c6f8dA799C8bDCA048Db
Net receiver
Unknown type
336.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
8,190.63 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:23:01 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate7 tx
36,305.67 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:21:57 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
1,189.93 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:24:05 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
34,665.43 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:20:53 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
7,238.52 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:25:09 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
1,671.05 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:19:49 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:26:14 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:18:45 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
853.66 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:23:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
853.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:23:27 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
Tx: 0x003b0021dab5f202524855867f41d52a9752e0d5bfe9b1618a3ae7ab1bca5fce
336.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:23:27 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004E6916b16Ee15974d0c6f8dA799C8bDCA048Db
Tx: 0x003b00761b312d03db15a80b5d1765a343c649f2ff603f263fa6c7cbb9359ac3