Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 1:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 1:20:00 A.M. to 11/09/2026, 1:21:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
91% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 31,408.06
Unexplained QUAI: 3,257.36
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
8
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
34,665.43 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007dF78c312d7943E509744d4F703743F60B5ECA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 34665 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007dF78c312d7943E509744d4F703743F60B5ECA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 1:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
22,372.03 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007dF78c312d7943E509744d4F703743F60B5ECA
Net sender
Unknown type
21,355.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
8,381.75 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004aCcaFF462d9AEE1Cf5336b821979E6005DF34
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,272.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
654.29 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 22,372.03 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
1,671.05 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:19:49 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:18:45 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
34,665.43 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:20:53 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:17:42 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate7 tx
36,305.67 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:21:57 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1,845.38 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:16:37 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
8,190.63 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:23:01 A.M.
-4 min
15 tx
32,566.67 QUAI • 27 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:15:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
21,355.3 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:20:43 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007dF78c312d7943E509744d4F703743F60B5ECA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
8,272.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:20:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004aCcaFF462d9AEE1Cf5336b821979E6005DF34
Tx: 0x006c003196bc150ccedc91981477c8caa1b41a8f8524da669e17d49b52e2864b
416.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:20:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0051B5cDcf4f8e98c8D7BE45548C2Ca93f57a611
Tx: 0x002a002daa320b8a98b264ab90e966e1dada3f41150d06855f8b24cfe7f33f6b
108.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:20:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004bCdE3e02aD0C5c5aC33eF98b864dcC82cD661
Tx: 0x0028000cb892d32b1e438f3633554a5a367f1d0984a4b6276f3d9eb3dc612d26
238.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:20:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0052d1507B3FD77A7e125096dB43ec321CD4831e
Tx: 0x0023005bbddde92523dff903702b0505652102ca923ac32d1992e6667c947ed9
504.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:20:43 A.M.
From: 0x00056b626466951B976d6fE839c3C013E6004c0f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00020006e44482fe84b4d4f0c331a0a4378da21030df8a0d57b204cefc126633
208.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:20:43 A.M.
From: 0x0039AF112dcE6cF0760635c42fe7ded074bb1FC6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a001c539fc3f78dc368749317c47d70a50246362d00ecfb6d36bd6db32284
303.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:20:43 A.M.
From: 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0035003106e0a8df275c0aad75ca758730d0bdc294c1e647c1df2d446de8a6ce
21,355.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:20:43 A.M.
From: 0x007dF78c312d7943E509744d4F703743F60B5ECA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007900453e55d36135bd9202f163939e04e26faa8015d1fb82986038e505c2cb
