Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 1:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 1:19:00 A.M. to 11/09/2026, 1:20:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,928.41
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
1,671.05 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0049AE59719CE9Ac694DB69cD02C6EeE5449E9B9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1671 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0049AE59719CE9Ac694DB69cD02C6EeE5449E9B9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 1:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,632 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0049AE59719CE9Ac694DB69cD02C6EeE5449E9B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,127.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
958.17 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Net receiver
Unknown type
827.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00056b626466951B976d6fE839c3C013E6004c0f
Net receiver
Unknown type
504.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:18:45 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:17:42 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
1,671.05 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:19:49 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
1,845.38 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:16:37 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
34,665.43 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:20:53 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
32,566.67 QUAI • 27 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:15:32 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate7 tx
36,305.67 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:21:57 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
8,190.63 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:23:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,127.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:19:54 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0049AE59719CE9Ac694DB69cD02C6EeE5449E9B9
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
3,127.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:19:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0049AE59719CE9Ac694DB69cD02C6EeE5449E9B9
Tx: 0x0023000a242700c7b5d421f133a26c3dbda56fbbfc28ee754eb5d408439119de
130.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:19:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004C6516450ABC9CD3feCa4DFFaf997A9465676F
Tx: 0x00290069834174036259914cbd9ad4be8b95bffc42d3630ffcfccf9da4162fd4
304.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:19:44 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
Tx: 0x004900735a874fcbdfa7432b09fd602827c8aadc749ab0bc5b63ddcb3b8fe9ea
504.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:19:44 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00056b626466951B976d6fE839c3C013E6004c0f
Tx: 0x00430043b14e941ea763bdcd5fc5540658818c5ec5ef4044d137a384c0ce57cf
827.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:19:44 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Tx: 0x0077006be486386cdff71c2ab574a014db438aa844953676b39a75ddaffc3161
33.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:19:44 A.M.
From: 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
To: 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
Tx: 0x004d001e6f01bc0dcf3e7b5bb3f3cf501c9249f73f983347c114d71e70c847b5