Spike bucket
11/09/2026, 1:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/09/2026, 1:15:00 A.M. to 11/09/2026, 1:16:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
5% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,766.46
Unexplained QUAI: 30,800.21
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 2.5
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 80% of explained volume
Relative context
5.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
3
20.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
32,566.67 QUAI
2.5 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00039b46520d6239037f7Eef3ba9F55b3DD14647.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 32567 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00039b46520d6239037f7Eef3ba9F55b3DD14647.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/09/2026, 1:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (95% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (5%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,409.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00039b46520d6239037f7Eef3ba9F55b3DD14647
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,409.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
209.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039AF112dcE6cF0760635c42fe7ded074bb1FC6
Net receiver
Unknown type
209.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
147.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:14:28 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate15 tx
32,566.67 QUAI • 27 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:15:32 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
3,700.05 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:13:24 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
1,845.38 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:16:37 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
7,558.56 QUAI • 28 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:12:20 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:17:42 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
764.92 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:11:16 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/09/2026, 1:18:45 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,409.32 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:15:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00039b46520d6239037f7Eef3ba9F55b3DD14647
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
147.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:15:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0014572168bcfeA4042270AEcF5AC8deb0ddCfa4
Tx: 0x007c000e54a149022daef9c58b11b6a1c195208c6b730029259e5e952cda03e4
209.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:15:09 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0039AF112dcE6cF0760635c42fe7ded074bb1FC6
Tx: 0x0022006c3a0b48b6c425b87ab15dcb5ec88b643bf9e13accfe77ba42222f53c7
1,409.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/09/2026, 1:15:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00039b46520d6239037f7Eef3ba9F55b3DD14647
Tx: 0x0073001d123d700635eec10dbdcdf6ef4ec4593107d8eca5d9a40c42264ad476