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Spike bucket

11/08/2026, 2:26:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/08/2026, 2:26:00 P.M. to 11/08/2026, 2:27:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
28% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,453.76
Unexplained QUAI: 26,822.19
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 8% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
34
Observable rows
14
41.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
51
Asset volume
37,275.95 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 37276 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/08/2026, 2:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (72% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (28%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
10,331.12 QUAI across 13 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
Net sender
Unknown type
886.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Net sender
Unknown type
877.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001E385793e13937a926438982110d7052f00f62
Net sender
Unknown type
865.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002d2D0870a017d522f4D6B13DA2F64CBeF439Aa
Net sender
Unknown type
828.39 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 10,331.12 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

14 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 34. The remaining 20 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

886.88 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:26:45 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

14 transactions
122.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
Tx: 0x0016003cebbb5e6121246ec46dc7985fa222c622212b69becf3048584c73438d
792.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x003b50BF9471c4591992c2883E724d98af46C1Aa
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a00000635865b93b093f4743943d4ef6f51ebd5637245149dde3b8c030072
Open txWallet profile
828.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x002d2D0870a017d522f4D6B13DA2F64CBeF439Aa
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b004dc100c37d42101804ea3acaec9d0880478864444d271ef363353a7790
Open txWallet profile
761.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x003337fCEEadb0C33A1F2A658ffAae267459c3Eb
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e0077560b153032f58771c34cd58fd3c3be97ddbe7254908224e931318620
Open txWallet profile
865.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x001E385793e13937a926438982110d7052f00f62
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00340049e2d544e28ba7cf403495d4244a00890cdfb3e1d4702afe89cdd723cd
Open txWallet profile
748.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x002B4Dcfc5c3b36944747dBEaa78354D097d6811
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d001074e5756925e7fd142017d52d8b17eebcf9d64e823983dd42205a7eed
Open txWallet profile
786.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x0000b63F3E349Da2F7A30048A452f8A4278673D9
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0043005fb5fd1772cb0d319729c692707a23f634df27639d64b196c6fd863900
Open txWallet profile
886.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00330024b7c3bea59ed144551e8db8d7498f64f1d79e791769da3dfc62a3c160
Open txWallet profile
800.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x0015c4e2c642C2b67aE21f3a7835E742019ab9ED
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0073007cd84364051298af54b7abd64137dd2b824b50265ed5cac946074ab443
Open txWallet profile
700.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x00508feC27130C95019a2d16B39f7017700f4F54
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0049004b0165eae2eb13d59ec54dee3f1bdce6226516da6044bb864f11fa1cbb
Open txWallet profile
775.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b0078edcb0e0d5b04033d2a8347cdcd719823dc7a663220a4605633d2efbb
Open txWallet profile
784.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x0034532cAADB14F8c1e339747C9a21FC0c7E9b5D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003400265301e7933934d3b37a170c13c572f71c875e60b23a6aa13a691a6d7e
Open txWallet profile
877.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d0015222ebe1c83d3b9cdf31f00eebddfc113e6784823cd41341803ef5544
Open txWallet profile
722.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:26:45 P.M.
From: 0x0022F30322F85e4B1bDCfF0Ed81CB988d319c851
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a0042ff8e21e1ea20a0d597c6544dc172fc17c3457f8aa3e363e99d66995b
Open txWallet profile