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Spike bucket

11/08/2026, 7:20:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/08/2026, 7:20:00 A.M. to 11/08/2026, 7:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 309.59
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1.0x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
74.08 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 74 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/08/2026, 7:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
241.33 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Net sender
Unknown type
141.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003B312c98771F05f3E6810f89207B82ABA84bbc
Net sender
Unknown type
100.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
68.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006Ce9Cd9679119E970Ce508Db4f0e052F82FEd1
Net receiver
Unknown type
68.26 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 241.33 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

141.06 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 7:20:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

3 transactions
68.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 7:20:38 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x006Ce9Cd9679119E970Ce508Db4f0e052F82FEd1
Tx: 0x00710078631c2a0f8425895c9c96aff80f50da228234d67284ed97d1cdada93b
100.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 7:20:38 A.M.
From: 0x003B312c98771F05f3E6810f89207B82ABA84bbc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c0017e6b499d93c59a58f7357ff79de88d97c4c4b8f8fc305433a9bc8e0f4
Open txWallet profile
141.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 7:20:38 A.M.
From: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0006006437bd9d76a84d1afc022be40796f09481eefbff8b3582d6b035d78206
Open txWallet profile