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Spike bucket

11/08/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/08/2026, 2:04:00 A.M. to 11/08/2026, 2:05:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
15% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 867.85
Unexplained QUAI: 4,829
Explained QI: 421.64
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 73% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.8x previous minute
6.6x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
5,696.85 QUAI
421.64 QI
Avg confidence
77.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 5697 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30.
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F -> 0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/08/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
630.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
Net receiver
Unknown type
630.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net sender
Unknown type
424.96 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3
Net receiver
Unknown type
424.96 QI across 2 visible rows
0x007b3a2Db43408a12Cf86dD868dE832E4dbf7350
Net sender
Unknown type
122.93 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F → 0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3
2 repeated flows • 421.64 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

630.86 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:04:45 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30

All transfers in this selected minute

5 transactions
3.32 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:04:57 A.M.
From: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
To: 0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3
Tx: 0x000500b3e8abe02f734cf814025eb1fdda91de56c444de6be71ddd6be3fc3864
114.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:04:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0052346958BfB3E04cc4F66e3981E2DD6F59569B
Tx: 0x001f0012ff2c49a89f2ae5cd2dea02d6fecaa9dab9e7e99dcb259f57f1aa925c
630.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:04:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
Tx: 0x0006003e09bb0aea091a1b131bd35530535dac1289f55f4b9b091c7afded5766
421.64 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:04:45 A.M.
From: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
To: 0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3
Tx: 0x0016002c5212a2ff8f3a12a1ad92990373d13766b3959c91a89d547a2fbeca03
122.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 2:04:45 A.M.
From: 0x007b3a2Db43408a12Cf86dD868dE832E4dbf7350
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00080054d9daf2458de148fb8a92b3e8a7216bae60cdc7b77ce569a12175f165
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