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Spike bucket

11/08/2026, 1:45:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/08/2026, 1:45:00 A.M. to 11/08/2026, 1:46:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,675.66
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 2.5
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
847.31 QUAI
2.5 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x003b50BF9471c4591992c2883E724d98af46C1Aa.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 847 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x003b50BF9471c4591992c2883E724d98af46C1Aa.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/08/2026, 1:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
793.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b50BF9471c4591992c2883E724d98af46C1Aa
Net receiver
Unknown type
793.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
400.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Net receiver
Unknown type
400.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
380.17 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 101 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 380.17 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

793.57 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 1:45:54 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003b50BF9471c4591992c2883E724d98af46C1Aa

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
793.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 1:45:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003b50BF9471c4591992c2883E724d98af46C1Aa
Tx: 0x0023005952082c3f6bff8943c9ad2b439fce66a14df55877765da1671724106f
400.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 1:45:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Tx: 0x007f00572dd9cf72f8cddeffcdcf76760774033c9e72c3d4a3d9246c55af0ca5
169.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 1:45:54 A.M.
From: 0x003AbD43E562Af0b727B8D7A0f771646004e6286
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f003cf49d91331e1b21c421345477637dc8817bffb42261fa180cae5cd498
Open txWallet profile
210.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 1:45:54 A.M.
From: 0x003835340Da62C918332E647508144EFb394e4c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006b00438adbbe8da61b5975eaac3a822bb6803fb5fdd3e65ef13731164c1fef
Open txWallet profile
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 1:45:54 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0071005b842a92ecfb7b56f7eaa10dadf9a056bcb31b1d6a45977835710b91b9
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 1:45:54 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0003007c25bfd06975ff9f5c8de96f4fc5c68667d6a24a2262142d06c156fcea