Spike bucket
11/08/2026, 1:44:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/08/2026, 1:44:00 A.M. to 11/08/2026, 1:45:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
21% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 847.31
Unexplained QUAI: 3,192
Explained QI: 2.5
Unexplained QI: 0.81
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
0.3x previous minute
4.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
4
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
4,039.32 QUAI
3.31 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 4039 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/08/2026, 1:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (79% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (21%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
443.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
Net receiver
Unknown type
443.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
402.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Net receiver
Unknown type
402.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
2.5 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
4,039.32 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/08/2026, 1:44:01 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate7 tx
14,622.59 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/08/2026, 1:42:57 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
847.31 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/08/2026, 1:45:04 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/08/2026, 1:41:53 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
1,675.66 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/08/2026, 1:46:08 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1,355.72 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/08/2026, 1:40:49 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
646.06 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/08/2026, 1:47:13 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
1,369.68 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/08/2026, 1:39:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
443.38 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 1:44:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
2.5 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 1:44:30 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x006b00246e1f26df182b7c6a6dee4ad4719818c5c3bac80d5d5e7ed2e72f0f79
443.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 1:44:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
Tx: 0x0008006f06b089e924dc0b88b502ca5f6f18e78f6a1c585df019d36287b8ba52
402.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 1:44:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Tx: 0x0045002b55dc40c5093d31f0a7bb36a36a3a33ca2908bff3dbcdec7e8dd5cb8c
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/08/2026, 1:44:12 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00210000d2a0dc4a4429b65aa55b37932daadd14fa24bd445a7db9101877a325
