Spike bucket
11/07/2026, 10:55:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/07/2026, 10:55:00 P.M. to 11/07/2026, 10:56:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 202.18
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
202.18 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 202 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/07/2026, 10:55:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
101.82 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
100.36 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Net receiver
Unknown type
52.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0041A56f14AF68BC650c65db60a4FB6424f877fc
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00148dfC282Adf1DFb18eB13780b64659677B0e6
Net receiver
Unknown type
50 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/07/2026, 10:54:49 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
225.64 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/07/2026, 10:53:44 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
202.18 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/07/2026, 10:55:52 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate3 tx
13,389.39 QUAI • 4 addresses
11/07/2026, 10:52:41 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/07/2026, 10:56:56 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
11/07/2026, 10:51:37 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/07/2026, 10:58:00 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
11/07/2026, 10:50:34 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
52.01 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 10:55:17 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 10:55:42 P.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x00148dfC282Adf1DFb18eB13780b64659677B0e6
Tx: 0x00140002b8ee92486fa9048ed1d81e7ef6128cb9f347017c22efaf5552de6f63
49.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 10:55:42 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x002b1DC1E213109A1F6105E3B8f759640D26e3d8
Tx: 0x002600269cb9baa2191d936951f536c33490f5b9dfa5c7f4e39f9d35b0470273
50.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 10:55:17 P.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x0041A56f14AF68BC650c65db60a4FB6424f877fc
Tx: 0x004600251c918e7841d39f4359a883365f212d13bab7df03bc3eaa145834dd46
52.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 10:55:17 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Tx: 0x0048007f327820d2d38d86338b17f49b5247d093fee43b999a571014e4d7a1ea