Spike bucket
11/07/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/07/2026, 4:12:00 P.M. to 11/07/2026, 4:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 96.05
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.3x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
96.05 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 96 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/07/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
96.05 QUAI across 8 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
48.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072c56AC01BC87d9beDD29891D147Ac35D3dde1
Net receiver
Unknown type
12.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007Cf2D445C1DCC0F4B4CB743F0596b6207C5723
Net receiver
Unknown type
8.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Net receiver
Unknown type
6.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
96.05 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/07/2026, 4:12:25 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
75.09 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/07/2026, 4:11:21 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
11/07/2026, 4:10:17 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/07/2026, 4:13:31 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate50 tx
942.13 QUAI • 66 addresses
11/07/2026, 4:09:14 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
718.5 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/07/2026, 4:14:37 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
11/07/2026, 4:08:10 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/07/2026, 4:15:44 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
48.74 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 4:12:18 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
8.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 4:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007Cf2D445C1DCC0F4B4CB743F0596b6207C5723
Tx: 0x0039007242ccb4c516ccfb38708ce02c94f5980037bb67cb0f42482eb5f3c511
4.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 4:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000d26302a0C81A41B5d303366Ef9439A020Fae2
Tx: 0x00330041d8d2c912dc489b89861b9829894e84cf1f4184c69548a7a7895a569a
6.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 4:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x0003001070d0eacd8f18d4dd6e45712a27a6f1e33dad4b7cebbdb9e7ff2de832
12.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 4:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072c56AC01BC87d9beDD29891D147Ac35D3dde1
Tx: 0x005b006c91969da22eaf3d09a95dce1fd5f787648c49898bc8305aca9f2ccf78
48.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 4:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x001a001333f59ebbd83fc785531bc94e6b6a821f893a52e847b832e941e6dd91
4.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 4:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x000c00137ab705a776e6b4cb28e3cfec5ec3a7ce8def039e972d2c61d7cf71ed
4.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 4:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046067EF3e4377fAF7b876111445563e1C222e9
Tx: 0x0008005fd28f5368573c42b33eca3411b492b7c4240f12a5749401f1704ad55d
5.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 4:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00219Effd4a47bA0d2D24F512D987f3B0B20F23A
Tx: 0x006200534c723096e0bfcbf2e9a62ced0ddef175fa79c2abf285c2ef12e69489