Spike bucket
11/07/2026, 2:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/07/2026, 2:27:00 P.M. to 11/07/2026, 2:28:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
74% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,012.3
Unexplained QUAI: 2,520.72
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 12% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
9
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
9,533.02 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x001b44FE2dc9257D129c1fF878fC36279DAf8687.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 9533 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x001b44FE2dc9257D129c1fF878fC36279DAf8687.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 11/07/2026, 2:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (26% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,012.3 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001b44FE2dc9257D129c1fF878fC36279DAf8687
Net sender
Unknown type
856.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001E1eb8cf445989a0211F1eb9Dc790f8AB20D94
Net sender
Unknown type
807.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Net sender
Unknown type
806.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b50BF9471c4591992c2883E724d98af46C1Aa
Net sender
Unknown type
781.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,012.3 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
16 tx
13,783.86 QUAI • 32 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:26:50 P.M.
-1 min
24 tx
34,095.51 QUAI • 36 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:25:45 P.M.
+1 min
12 tx
9,533.02 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:27:54 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:24:40 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
4,486.01 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:28:58 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate20 tx
70,893.45 QUAI • 32 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:23:33 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
230 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:30:02 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:31:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
856.63 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:27:08 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001b44FE2dc9257D129c1fF878fC36279DAf8687
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
751.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:27:33 P.M.
From: 0x005fA04a9e5dDAfC5bF29f665EE374f6480Ba048
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0043000730cac18a80048c3132ea34c12403a964e7eef7da43f40ae4cb1c0ad9
740.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:27:33 P.M.
From: 0x00687D48F1d1aD2cAE9C437eaDEc9ba7497094c7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0053001ebec274704ecdd359b92c3e6823f92a74fbe163951470e13cb6e639ce
717.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:27:33 P.M.
From: 0x006b2C5697124FFFd4F47c4C48c51e21B593cF1D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017005e6455e70e3210edb7feb8c782dde899cf3fe2941e8716231b65f42533
806.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:27:12 P.M.
From: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c00747fd6fc5d0018c455be85f35f8cff6067628a99ac4b4f05332e65f89a
773.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:27:08 P.M.
From: 0x0022F30322F85e4B1bDCfF0Ed81CB988d319c851
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0029005cda0b671403880d1a1d291f7f51aee9560b6836b795e4ad9b0da25800
775.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:27:08 P.M.
From: 0x002898746a5BD353d668f3B976da33c9385174AB
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0028000e341a994bfb7b52ea8bb5bec553bdfeb1d0bb222ba783f8cfad486c98
781.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:27:08 P.M.
From: 0x003b50BF9471c4591992c2883E724d98af46C1Aa
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00190020b834f4d2a622654d0bb4cda233227dc06c455494c9dc986240c13845
856.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:27:08 P.M.
From: 0x001b44FE2dc9257D129c1fF878fC36279DAf8687
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0001000ddb04423f3eb1008bb81de40c62621ee709c41f428512257d6409f51a
807.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:27:08 P.M.
From: 0x001E1eb8cf445989a0211F1eb9Dc790f8AB20D94
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0041001599679073a2007b99763deea57d72140fe239594a8da09f115a109c18