Spike bucket
11/07/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/07/2026, 2:14:00 P.M. to 11/07/2026, 2:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,052.3
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
1.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
1,052.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1052 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/07/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,052.3 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
Net sender
Unknown type
626.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Net sender
Unknown type
301.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
Net sender
Unknown type
124.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,052.3 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:13:41 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
1,052.3 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:14:48 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
623.68 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:12:29 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
35.33 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:15:55 P.M.
-3 min
18 tx
806.06 QUAI • 32 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:11:20 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
33.69 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:16:59 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:10:14 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/07/2026, 2:18:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
626.19 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:14:33 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
124.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:14:33 P.M.
From: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00120010286b95aad8ad4ab076a23195526b41051d4247ae1473f528963a1d6d
626.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:14:33 P.M.
From: 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001200414a53376ec4ed236221669b825731ac8a90b21c8399699711dbf1cff8
301.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:14:33 P.M.
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e00578609f829ebb4ed5a861ed0e586973600354f188a807cbb9e15f2b2bf