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Spike bucket

11/07/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/07/2026, 2:44:00 A.M. to 11/07/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
36% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,838.46
Unexplained QUAI: 6,774.59
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
2.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
4
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
10,613.05 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 10613 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/07/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (64% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (36%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,488.38 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
Net sender
Unknown type
1,862.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,350.08 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
Net receiver
Unknown type
989.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00792421F1ACF56B73FF86A13699271375f5803e
Net sender
Unknown type
626.2 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,488.38 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 8. The remaining 4 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

1,862.18 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:44:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

4 transactions
989.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:44:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
Tx: 0x0044005556b94c8c94073b98d3fffdd8af1e916877613c5bfc519e402ebb21f7
1,862.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:44:15 A.M.
From: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00430008d23e9133d2afef851e5fce4d3ddc991db230f25cbe9329573be0c699
Open txWallet profile
626.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:44:15 A.M.
From: 0x00792421F1ACF56B73FF86A13699271375f5803e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d0064f0671d694fbd1d8e46043fa6bf87cc7ada0b151d6a72f4de4164d570
Open txWallet profile
360.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 2:44:14 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
Tx: 0x001b0073ebeac8479eca114173deb44ef60fc4455c66078b8aee3fa81019bd20