Spike bucket
11/07/2026, 1:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/07/2026, 1:51:00 A.M. to 11/07/2026, 1:52:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
92% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,792.73
Unexplained QUAI: 569.61
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
7,362.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 7362 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/07/2026, 1:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,770.89 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
Net sender
Unknown type
1,373.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Net sender
Unknown type
1,145.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0052d797cF87c53D936d0ab11Be31F3c7ede9dF4
Net sender
Unknown type
998.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d4f696342E089Fd1C1B67ba9E92652273Da6E
Net receiver
Unknown type
998.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 20 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,770.89 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
11/07/2026, 1:50:31 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
7,362.34 QUAI • 31 addresses
11/07/2026, 1:51:36 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate6 tx
13,060.26 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/07/2026, 1:49:28 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
628.25 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/07/2026, 1:52:41 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
9,513.6 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/07/2026, 1:48:23 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
797.18 QUAI • 8 addresses
11/07/2026, 1:53:44 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
1,322.6 QUAI • 4 addresses
11/07/2026, 1:47:19 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
940.86 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/07/2026, 1:54:48 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,373.01 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 1:51:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
618.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 1:51:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003562fca1121F1B3275f0c6D1F82a0Cd1fed6A9
Tx: 0x0067004696d2f8a5124afc909db20dcc06474e971ea4c6589553b875a06198fe
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 1:51:56 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x000800293340b5fcde3c380dae344081bf166b3c242bae1fb227630156246ab3
998.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 1:51:14 A.M.
From: 0x0052d797cF87c53D936d0ab11Be31F3c7ede9dF4
To: 0x006d4f696342E089Fd1C1B67ba9E92652273Da6E
Tx: 0x0039005f4c2ffdda978fcadcd04b641c59ec7a9321eefa0b17ef504113a2797b
276.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 1:51:14 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034F71E0b2B37467BEc63dfE5ae1F5065c297C3
Tx: 0x001e0024d21bd52fcba315a9fab7fe897b50900d001b6b87b8cf997bd5ae9b59
108.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 1:51:14 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0035aA7F2c26655d359283F41eceD4465F0DC941
Tx: 0x00080074d757019bd9149f0e3043ead771febfd42081e502a535149f43d8e504
1,373.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 1:51:14 A.M.
From: 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0035001df777e3ea665e14817fa1f41cda18593cef41cf439ffc9c4dce499bdd
666.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 1:51:14 A.M.
From: 0x002fb9d5b4F9bf35664398b65686dB2a021A5326
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0003003590fa3d946a752fbde48867ac56f3965041e2becacc84da900d9e4f09
866.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 1:51:14 A.M.
From: 0x002bad26037037A45dcFaa331D8EA957A8AFf12B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000100131e666da51e167b39aaef742dc8ff76c1b988576ce81f84d7b951101f
233.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 1:51:14 A.M.
From: 0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0019004ada80a9eef721d139419e6261bb1d7c3f6c7088eee55ba3b94027ccdd
484.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 1:51:14 A.M.
From: 0x0032Ea42bFbfED78045Bc75C4Ed9BDBdd89aB9a2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d001f71b0e7885587858a5d7a9523c2e16328a01b27eb5cacf19b77e8c1f8
1,145.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 1:51:14 A.M.
From: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0016005368bd22d0cbc20259797246cf9b9191bad86031826972d99d2e2c91cb
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/07/2026, 1:51:14 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0025007628bc6258e2acfa9a52a0b82923b986bc510548f55dac69d3997f8ba5
