Spike bucket
11/06/2026, 10:37:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/06/2026, 10:37:00 P.M. to 11/06/2026, 10:38:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 106,106.45
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
53,076.04 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00283eD1dd76368c592Ec86157438Cf02C2F1244.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 53076 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00283eD1dd76368c592Ec86157438Cf02C2F1244.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/06/2026, 10:37:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
106,054.12 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00283eD1dd76368c592Ec86157438Cf02C2F1244
Net receiver
Unknown type
53,030.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
53,023.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
52.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b1DC1E213109A1F6105E3B8f759640D26e3d8
Net receiver
Unknown type
52.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 53,023.71 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/06/2026, 10:36:27 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
53,076.04 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/06/2026, 10:37:32 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
58.99 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/06/2026, 10:35:23 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
53,030.41 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/06/2026, 10:38:36 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
20 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/06/2026, 10:34:19 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/06/2026, 10:39:41 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
113.46 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/06/2026, 10:33:14 P.M.
+4 min
31 tx
44,555.94 QUAI • 41 addresses
11/06/2026, 10:40:45 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
53,030.41 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/06/2026, 10:37:39 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00283eD1dd76368c592Ec86157438Cf02C2F1244
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
53,030.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/06/2026, 10:37:39 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00283eD1dd76368c592Ec86157438Cf02C2F1244
Tx: 0x0006002a45c89581b6c76d53883df8c747a1b3257755a5cf83f19cd8b73396b5
52.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/06/2026, 10:37:04 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x002b1DC1E213109A1F6105E3B8f759640D26e3d8
Tx: 0x002b00057f23770df80642e01aabd9fe76bce183687da4fd117aa764d625bd62
53,023.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/06/2026, 10:37:04 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x004e0073f5c42ec34f55401667a722714e1c64e45c6e7d4dc803c0af981ccb1b