Spike bucket
11/06/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/06/2026, 4:12:00 P.M. to 11/06/2026, 4:13:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
24% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,800
Unexplained QUAI: 5,605.76
Explained QI: 312.46
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
4.1x above local average
1.6x previous minute
4.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
7,405.76 QUAI
312.46 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3 • 0x0045e60A1909ADFbae4d52B1E8C2d57a027A402D.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 7406 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3 • 0x0045e60A1909ADFbae4d52B1E8C2d57a027A402D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/06/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (76% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (24%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
Net sender
Unknown type
1,800 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045e60A1909ADFbae4d52B1E8C2d57a027A402D
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,800 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net sender
Unknown type
312.47 QI across 1 visible row
0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3
Net receiver
Unknown type
312.47 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
7,405.76 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/06/2026, 4:12:01 P.M.
-1 min
8 tx
4,561.92 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/06/2026, 4:10:55 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
1,800 QUAI • 4 addresses
11/06/2026, 4:13:04 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
11/06/2026, 4:09:52 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/06/2026, 4:14:09 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
655.17 QUAI • 64 addresses
11/06/2026, 4:08:48 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/06/2026, 4:07:43 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/06/2026, 4:16:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,800 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/06/2026, 4:12:55 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
To: 0x0045e60A1909ADFbae4d52B1E8C2d57a027A402D
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
312.46 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/06/2026, 4:12:55 P.M.
From: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
To: 0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3
Tx: 0x0021005fba456f0878ef5b57a6d8d10168c3a1ee46d2172269ed9ab934582990
1,800 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/06/2026, 4:12:55 P.M.
From: 0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
To: 0x0045e60A1909ADFbae4d52B1E8C2d57a027A402D
Tx: 0x0046001b9ed79b21a9d1cf2f11eea3a3f649df31d7d2af8c9927ae527c970095