Spike bucket
11/06/2026, 1:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/06/2026, 1:31:00 A.M. to 11/06/2026, 1:32:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
21% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,225.38
Unexplained QUAI: 12,033.49
Explained QI: 3.04
Unexplained QI: 396.96
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 84% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
2.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
19
Observable rows
4
21.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
39
Asset volume
15,258.87 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
71.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0026f466C5e703E513415Cf98eF844dbA6469983.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 15259 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0026f466C5e703E513415Cf98eF844dbA6469983.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/06/2026, 1:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (79% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (21%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,710.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0026f466C5e703E513415Cf98eF844dbA6469983
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,710.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
305.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
Net receiver
Unknown type
305.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
209 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
2,695.94 QUAI • 8 addresses
11/06/2026, 1:30:45 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
5,690.02 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/06/2026, 1:29:41 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate19 tx
15,258.87 QUAI • 39 addresses
11/06/2026, 1:31:50 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
3,393.64 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/06/2026, 1:28:37 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
5,092.6 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/06/2026, 1:32:54 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
4,237.18 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/06/2026, 1:27:33 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
4,372 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/06/2026, 1:33:58 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
2,666 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/06/2026, 1:26:30 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,710.87 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/06/2026, 1:31:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0026f466C5e703E513415Cf98eF844dbA6469983
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
3.04 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/06/2026, 1:31:40 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00F7c15c5F810dD557A2e2683654C83c36a601BF
Tx: 0x001600ee4dfcfdbe2469fd5525ca7b8b875f8e897879f066fa45db6c47c0d792
2,710.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/06/2026, 1:31:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0026f466C5e703E513415Cf98eF844dbA6469983
Tx: 0x0063003acd86feb4d6d4fa6c44fed722ee9215a9d4f428bc07d0ae640e8f5d1c
305.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/06/2026, 1:31:25 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
Tx: 0x00080008e1375d6be72ee23a042bd6907d741de3e66d14f01b6554f9456114ea
209 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/06/2026, 1:31:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0029607F000d0Ff633844DCb99bDD418FE9d6090
Tx: 0x0016006ace19504dc720bfea86f56746e4854e9ab6adbe22cde9f5821e142b3b
