Spike bucket
11/05/2026, 11:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/05/2026, 11:16:00 P.M. to 11/05/2026, 11:17:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,060.73
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
4.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
36
Asset volume
4,060.73 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4061 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/05/2026, 11:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,806.06 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,119.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
Net sender
Unknown type
1,157 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,157 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
Net sender
Unknown type
686.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,806.06 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
4,060.73 QUAI • 36 addresses
11/05/2026, 11:16:44 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
2,120.32 QUAI • 2 addresses
11/05/2026, 11:13:38 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
11/05/2026, 11:17:48 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/05/2026, 11:12:35 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/05/2026, 11:18:52 P.M.
-4 min
21 tx
955.58 QUAI • 41 addresses
11/05/2026, 11:11:31 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/05/2026, 11:19:56 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/05/2026, 11:21:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,119.61 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 11:16:24 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
686.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 11:16:24 P.M.
From: 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b006c35fbe06ae3c6a1245b045f9d817bc46844fbcf4abfdec2b62030afd9
2,119.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 11:16:24 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e0032903868024b5ac02f78d3204d9b6d8e34a023f57e874fd99e8a31ceaa
44.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 11:16:24 P.M.
From: 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
To: 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
Tx: 0x002a00269917ff2ab3f47481321d104d7b6436648d37d4ed3a357e0285a92dae
53.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 11:16:07 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x1Ce35579426F1b905D5eC563d8250Ed7da67d5C2
Tx: 0x00030039a2f46c44c67b40e1dedaf313b3a540cf3e279b8cff9ba983b1ca7885
1,157 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 11:16:07 P.M.
From: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
To: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Tx: 0x006800303c2a0b690dff46b5f9e8ac4f8e25756e4b5c4bdbeb6c833d5c5740b9