Spike bucket
11/05/2026, 4:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/05/2026, 4:15:00 P.M. to 11/05/2026, 4:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
10% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 86.13
Unexplained QUAI: 735.56
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
9.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
821.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492 • 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 822 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492 • 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/05/2026, 4:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (90% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (10%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
Net sender
Unknown type
54.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
Net receiver
Unknown type
54.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
31.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x1Ce35579426F1b905D5eC563d8250Ed7da67d5C2
Net receiver
Unknown type
31.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
821.69 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/05/2026, 4:15:02 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/05/2026, 4:13:59 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
86.13 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/05/2026, 4:16:06 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/05/2026, 4:12:53 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
11/05/2026, 4:17:10 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/05/2026, 4:11:49 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/05/2026, 4:18:14 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate26 tx
1,571.88 QUAI • 39 addresses
11/05/2026, 4:10:45 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
54.92 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 4:15:10 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
To: 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
31.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 4:15:13 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x1Ce35579426F1b905D5eC563d8250Ed7da67d5C2
Tx: 0x001f0074698244c7d6fff6fa6156069de8aa763a5f5e9122ce567dc6ea9f0c30
54.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 4:15:10 P.M.
From: 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
To: 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
Tx: 0x002b00546d01bc2d2b5fe218f9b86d50fffea1df4d3d868ed97a5e0da0d33b35