Spike bucket
11/05/2026, 3:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/05/2026, 3:20:00 P.M. to 11/05/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,445.14
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
7.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
2,445.14 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2445 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/05/2026, 3:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,445.14 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,227.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
Net sender
Unknown type
867.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007F72Fa255E1Ee67e3e410cEB4845447F85bCB8
Net sender
Unknown type
126.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
116.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,445.14 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/05/2026, 3:19:31 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
2,445.14 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/05/2026, 3:20:35 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/05/2026, 3:18:23 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/05/2026, 3:21:39 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
11/05/2026, 3:17:20 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/05/2026, 3:22:44 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
31.21 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/05/2026, 3:16:15 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
156.26 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/05/2026, 3:23:48 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,227.83 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 3:20:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
126.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 3:20:00 P.M.
From: 0x007F72Fa255E1Ee67e3e410cEB4845447F85bCB8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a007c1ef0b22f1a136eb7cbd0d1c24300b4e5e343e3228692154114976b15
1,227.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 3:20:00 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0018004c294ced99c3cd653668becb5f8e6066a0d3f45f01c30ff06f062e79e8
116.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 3:20:00 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006900282b21a0d3d51e6ca52e8dced1e5d4c5ce8880b981a3990e88ca7fc952
106.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 3:20:00 P.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00130062943000948529692a1059104a0d27814e62c685c6ea2b4e719051c6c3
867.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 3:20:00 P.M.
From: 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c00186dd727fd13d9b51281b0b90ba54b67328f242c850214d623c7fda0a6