Spike bucket
11/05/2026, 2:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/05/2026, 2:21:00 P.M. to 11/05/2026, 2:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 318,409.45
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/05/2026, 2:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
318,096.42 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
Net sender
Unknown type
114,499.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00633D78C5205b44C997614511454a254f519bd8
Net sender
Unknown type
86,843.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001222dBb9c8fC7Bc09225C8cf949FcE27b488A4
Net sender
Unknown type
41,186.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net sender
Unknown type
39,997.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 318,096.42 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:21:07 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:20:03 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
318,409.45 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:22:11 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
49.12 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:18:59 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:23:17 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
610.37 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:17:55 P.M.
+3 min
41 tx
183,501.19 QUAI • 54 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:24:21 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
1,079.4 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:16:51 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
114,499.3 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:21:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
150 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:21:36 P.M.
From: 0x0061dfa2b4678BEe54E725De908cceCF1e342100
To: 0x007a26a6f77ec50138FD9D5577d92446e5e9921f
Tx: 0x0051001d61f43e2292e9aa083e2b3d5830168102a58109a27da794a7fa00dad6
163.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:21:36 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
Tx: 0x002a005479a334198df7fff677f97a122cffa3fe226daf2668509a8bc2b9b9ff
35,568.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:21:36 P.M.
From: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00130003a77663735bc0ad6e9b83ab2977519bcbbf91c543140908807d85d06f
39,997.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:21:36 P.M.
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00420028b45b7c323122c3b0ba0e813e65b00b1e85952a14dbf0dc85d5af17c9
41,186.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:21:36 P.M.
From: 0x001222dBb9c8fC7Bc09225C8cf949FcE27b488A4
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0053000bfb01e352616c4613a3c2b6a9918a25aa0bbcf1122a960d85fcb2c280
86,843.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:21:36 P.M.
From: 0x00633D78C5205b44C997614511454a254f519bd8
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003800002e52e161beaa89080e159934dcf359695d1e6eae38d1585d23cb622c
114,499.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:21:36 P.M.
From: 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0013000e3940c91d721996e57a092674904fc4e4e022f4c424db4a89b924cc18