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Spike bucket

11/05/2026, 11:01:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/05/2026, 11:01:00 A.M. to 11/05/2026, 11:02:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

0% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 0

Unexplained QUAI: 12,545.28

Explained QI: 1,603.93

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 0% of explained volume

Relative context

5.4x above local average

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

12,545.28 QUAI

1,603.93 QI

Avg confidence

100.0%

Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00c40eCbfA880BE666dB61d6c34D61212b68ADCf.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + low confidence + 12545 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 27

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00c40eCbfA880BE666dB61d6c34D61212b68ADCf.

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00c40eCbfA880BE666dB61d6c34D61212b68ADCf (5 repeated flows).

Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence low • Source address-path-single

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Thin source coverage

Last updated: 11/05/2026, 11:01:00 A.M.

Coverage gap high (100% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da

Net sender

Unknown type

1,206.05 QI across 5 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00c40eCbfA880BE666dB61d6c34D61212b68ADCf

Net receiver

Unknown type

1,206.05 QI across 5 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F

Net sender

Unknown type

403.93 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0088Aa912977ebF963695eCf8D0c5FBd54c2b5A3

Net receiver

Unknown type

403.93 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00c40eCbfA880BE666dB61d6c34D61212b68ADCf

5 repeated flows • 1200 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

6 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 10. The remaining 4 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.