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Spike bucket

11/05/2026, 10:13:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/05/2026, 10:13:00 A.M. to 11/05/2026, 10:14:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

3% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 267

Unexplained QUAI: 8,369.35

Explained QI: 400

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume

Relative context

5.9x above local average

13x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Largest nearby bucket

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

30.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

8,636.35 QUAI

400 QI

Avg confidence

81.0%

Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00B45bF1b0956cdcf1F0a21555B19600F27b1241.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + low confidence + 8636 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 27

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00B45bF1b0956cdcf1F0a21555B19600F27b1241.

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00B45bF1b0956cdcf1F0a21555B19600F27b1241 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence low • Source address-path-single

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Thin source coverage

Last updated: 11/05/2026, 10:13:00 A.M.

Coverage gap high (97% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da

Net sender

Unknown type

406.11 QI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00B45bF1b0956cdcf1F0a21555B19600F27b1241

Net receiver

Unknown type

403.05 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002cBB439a76EF83641EdECBEe3068C8184ee4Df

Net receiver

Unknown type

267 QUAI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006bC404Bd7A9E0DBa2E175EDcc6bF6e27779DB2

Net sender

Unknown type

90 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0064200Ddaa6ddc66C904d9E894266DA2Dbd0447

Net sender

Unknown type

89 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00B45bF1b0956cdcf1F0a21555B19600F27b1241

2 repeated flows • 400 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

6 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 20. The remaining 14 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.