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Spike bucket

11/05/2026, 3:09:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/05/2026, 3:09:00 A.M. to 11/05/2026, 3:10:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,270.66
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 2.48
Unexplained QI: 297.52
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 73% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
1.3x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
53
Observable rows
8
15.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
64
Asset volume
11,504.42 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
66.8%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001aC80CE6f8037934145fCB6A451Fd4c021567D • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 11504 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001aC80CE6f8037934145fCB6A451Fd4c021567D • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/05/2026, 3:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x001aC80CE6f8037934145fCB6A451Fd4c021567D
Net sender
Unknown type
8,997.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,997.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,472.97 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18
Net sender
Unknown type
1,415.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
800.46 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,472.97 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

8 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 53. The remaining 45 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

8,997.23 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 3:09:20 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001aC80CE6f8037934145fCB6A451Fd4c021567D
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
2.48 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 3:09:32 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x002b0096e319a8c8041eab25dc7c6b6e3896d6ffb7e1952f6761ec85206201d7
8,997.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 3:09:20 A.M.
From: 0x001aC80CE6f8037934145fCB6A451Fd4c021567D
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x003300094b7e9375175b2217ddf03ce108cd347f8fe2c491dec3bead3f1ac3fa
800.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 3:09:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0076B4c97ffd5C9cf02EB756f6D545fb7589B519
Tx: 0x005e0029cf73cf31c0a88a44aee001861dabd93a5e9c2c1e5495e4159ef866b6
107.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 3:09:20 A.M.
From: 0x004AC3051C3CF518fCEB00534ee7f62d058c7869
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0047007bfba7f913fab17d41b3551d0524477be7c27dfbb2e0e397c5ccf31c0d
Open txWallet profile
1,415.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 3:09:20 A.M.
From: 0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017001f09f9fe8f620d37ebc5c0f8143aeccebe99ec751ab7204662f7c1d66f
Open txWallet profile
454.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 3:09:20 A.M.
From: 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0001001655999b3ce8ce34ea489bb46150a6ffe90c6083a459fa2669c50b94fe
Open txWallet profile
373.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 3:09:20 A.M.
From: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00280063a1ec3e1c3e858d8ab1ba44be1b11de6256dd60dc97a971b8cbfcbed7
Open txWallet profile
122.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 3:09:20 A.M.
From: 0x003B9EB11D8fA06841E5AC54f997AEED3E593bCB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0009000540e4a13e3029de10459ee04ecd6d1d356c8736b0b7a743bf69fe17f7
Open txWallet profile