Spike bucket
11/05/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/05/2026, 2:52:00 A.M. to 11/05/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
37% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 408.7
Unexplained QUAI: 696.21
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.7x previous minute
2.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
1,104.91 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1105 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/05/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (37%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
285.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263
Net receiver
Unknown type
285.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
123.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00641b564408D937179203D09C1754D867Af6527
Net receiver
Unknown type
123.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,104.91 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,669.49 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:50:56 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
408.7 QUAI • 7 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:53:04 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
5,156.34 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:49:52 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
2,928.92 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:54:09 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate10 tx
9,144.53 QUAI • 29 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:48:48 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
5,730.13 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:55:14 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
3,307.17 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:47:43 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
285.23 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:52:59 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
123.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:52:59 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00641b564408D937179203D09C1754D867Af6527
Tx: 0x00760035dc028c0359b1325b962c8ade467cd544e82ef04055e4632c448f8b4e
285.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:52:59 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263
Tx: 0x004900538bbc9c0b58eb6fc5267f77993c10031fa326e9c35a996a86b71558c3