Spike bucket
11/05/2026, 2:00:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/05/2026, 2:00:00 A.M. to 11/05/2026, 2:01:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
46% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,591.04
Unexplained QUAI: 7,685.48
Explained QI: 2.49
Unexplained QI: 297.51
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
4.2x above local average
12x previous minute
2.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
14,276.51 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
66.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 14277 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/05/2026, 2:00:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (54% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (46%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
5,030.1 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
Net sender
Unknown type
1,643.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Net sender
Unknown type
1,327.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,182.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003859c9897692e779199E4D221bD9C9bEE90702
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,182.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,030.1 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
14,276.51 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:00:08 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,215.04 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/05/2026, 1:59:05 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
6,591.04 QUAI • 27 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:01:14 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
3,540.07 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/05/2026, 1:58:01 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:02:19 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/05/2026, 1:56:56 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/05/2026, 2:03:23 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
1,593.89 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/05/2026, 1:55:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,643.82 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:00:28 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
1,182.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:00:28 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003859c9897692e779199E4D221bD9C9bEE90702
Tx: 0x005700183d08e1b354d72657c7f9aca3b96ffdc8feff74f2adc59053bbdf8370
378.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:00:28 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
Tx: 0x003e00028c0285023cdb2686af76a51ffea1264c979b0065957bd0c525a24982
263.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:00:28 A.M.
From: 0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d004e3f8eebdd3327ae20da804eed11b444399fb6ec90e48ec4ca4f980122
1,643.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:00:28 A.M.
From: 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0013007f94394e93b83881677a4443bccb715a31bc8fa216c150997de14b5d6a
1,327.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:00:28 A.M.
From: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00390077fe0eb4ad6ff7f173d79762eecaa8c5fcbe015319435a56d5f9b6c265
567.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:00:28 A.M.
From: 0x0032Ea42bFbfED78045Bc75C4Ed9BDBdd89aB9a2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017003863c85a3c49c5fec72d52a4f50ea4f2fcbbb3d595bf0f127a55fecb50
314.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:00:28 A.M.
From: 0x0036dAa0f974C1419c79ee7B84f2179D34844dc0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00400077162d2ca9fab753f1ccafef95b1d8ecb3cb60278eb3f5b3b7142f1815
912.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:00:28 A.M.
From: 0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001500071d8123f19111171bb58e386ca2927b2674c243416284ea0c9b73b787
2.49 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 2:00:20 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x005000ee269d6be7e485b0eca98579b80ca76e8f649b5d714aad6890d63152de