Spike bucket
11/05/2026, 1:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/05/2026, 1:15:00 A.M. to 11/05/2026, 1:16:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
6% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,046.19
Unexplained QUAI: 33,578.09
Explained QI: 2.47
Unexplained QI: 297.53
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
9.0x previous minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
28
Observable rows
9
32.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
42
Asset volume
35,624.28 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
66.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 35624 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/05/2026, 1:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
814.6 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
Net receiver
Unknown type
620.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
582.9 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
470.47 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Net receiver
Unknown type
464.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate28 tx
35,624.28 QUAI • 42 addresses
11/05/2026, 1:15:24 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
3,948.19 QUAI • 30 addresses
11/05/2026, 1:14:19 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/05/2026, 1:16:28 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
1,725.37 QUAI • 9 addresses
11/05/2026, 1:13:14 A.M.
-3 min
11 tx
24,013.61 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/05/2026, 1:12:11 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
2,928.54 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/05/2026, 1:17:32 A.M.
-4 min
33 tx
2,279.91 QUAI • 47 addresses
11/05/2026, 1:11:06 A.M.
+4 min
8 tx
11,151.16 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/05/2026, 1:18:36 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
620.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 1:15:13 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
620.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 1:15:13 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
Tx: 0x002c006cc2f195659f4b2a5bed13abe83be3fd2bd2cb8d338178962121a606c2
118.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 1:15:13 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000F912f5517aa0b1D91a012A34FA0782559be19
Tx: 0x000d002dafdd07fa93a61c8abd8d7773414e7229d8b84c6f9c408e5c8e53c773
110.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 1:15:13 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001620e6089Ca4668b12301DacE43BB613ED2863
Tx: 0x00160074b599da6080bbc1c4618a80ce3c6bc424e63ff0a162ee2ada85e02a94
2.47 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 1:15:07 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x007b00cb3790712d3c69cef68dcce8f90931d7da15462beb044f49e938399d92
464.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 1:15:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x0053005f49a883348ecee7d04ce786b587985c2a5f9ce018b6f0814e4608e205
194.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 1:15:04 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003Ae0bBb0BA9B92C0C6f21C68f34a30D0122402
Tx: 0x001d0065b73125feb5c41434d33ea588f62449f15335a6b54b95fa72bf145a6c
359.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 1:15:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Tx: 0x002d0016aa5794cd68a8e2c10855e7c8d57ce57156278356b688ef242f840f4c
125.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 1:15:04 A.M.
From: 0x00044cDa9FC31DD29aeEc2Ab0Fb6F0cc8C5bc892
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x002a0018aaf3ede9335badfd0e7d16f3656830377f3828b497aab2a0280b7872
52.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/05/2026, 1:15:04 A.M.
From: 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
To: 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
Tx: 0x00430054aa9419550897e3ef24947007e966a807e6de5960b9b733f7da2f947d
