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Inspect spike

Spike bucket

11/05/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/05/2026, 12:11:00 A.M. to 11/05/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 2,354.23

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 400

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume

Relative context

0.4x above local average

0.1x previous minute

1.8x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

87.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

1,539.65 QUAI

400 QI

Avg confidence

72.9%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 1540 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x0086418aC2f290f6d29edD8abFaB8d92bbdFcF10 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 11/05/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

1,488.8 QUAI across 4 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66

Net sender

Unknown type

1,166.24 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b

Net sender

Unknown type

865.43 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E

Net receiver

Unknown type

865.43 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da

Net sender

Unknown type

402.97 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x0086418aC2f290f6d29edD8abFaB8d92bbdFcF10

2 repeated flows • 400 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 1,488.8 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

7 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 8. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Nearby active minutes

Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes

Selected minute

8 tx

1,539.65 QUAI • 20 addresses

11/05/2026, 12:11:14 A.M.

-1 min

Best candidate18 tx

10,367.84 QUAI • 33 addresses

11/05/2026, 12:10:10 A.M.

+1 min

2 tx

865.43 QUAI • 16 addresses

11/05/2026, 12:12:18 A.M.

-2 min

53 tx

4,191.43 QUAI • 68 addresses

11/05/2026, 12:09:06 A.M.

+2 min

5 tx

3,134 QUAI • 21 addresses

11/05/2026, 12:13:23 A.M.

-3 min

3 tx

10,000 QUAI • 13 addresses

11/05/2026, 12:08:02 A.M.

+3 min

1 tx

3,131.05 QUAI • 12 addresses

11/05/2026, 12:14:27 A.M.

-4 min

4 tx

10 QUAI • 15 addresses

11/05/2026, 12:06:59 A.M.

Biggest whale alert

1,166.24 QUAI

Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

11/05/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.

QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1

Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.

From: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions

2.97 QI

Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

11/05/2026, 12:11:31 A.M.

From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da

To: 0x0086418aC2f290f6d29edD8abFaB8d92bbdFcF10

Tx: 0x007e00db3c57daef03b67d6a35d91e7180ee18c6c415e3e4a3dc93bd41c8fac5

Open tx

865.43 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

11/05/2026, 12:11:26 A.M.

From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b

To: 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E

Tx: 0x003c0015c13c4709a3a2f18ebc9226e8d1036d55c98cd9d46d867a8aa5f31b21

Open tx

400 QI

Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

11/05/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.

From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da

To: 0x0086418aC2f290f6d29edD8abFaB8d92bbdFcF10

Tx: 0x004c0036f099df8a1f8bcff90dd37610fb05ee53764e86a91a5f7b143f273611

Open tx

114.22 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

11/05/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.

From: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x0026002410ee3c93b12869f25e393c2e14a4687a384feb46e768b2c77010a9a1

Open txWallet profile

102.65 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

11/05/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.

From: 0x006a3E6A8085D89fc4CcBAbAC9078274871fC809

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x006c006400126e9f57e9659b15985c69a0d1a2f3eaed0388ced13262f938cc09

Open txWallet profile

1,166.24 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

11/05/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.

From: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x002d00230dad0db5d20391bf8bc0e48671f3acd5954489263342d080bc200a85

Open txWallet profile

105.69 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

11/05/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.

From: 0x00628C2Cbf0754262132a4e33Cdd8f4F91767404

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x004e0016062fb8de3be1ac0989e28dd6af5ac255f0bc6b77a5d4a0ffad0370c9

Open txWallet profile