Spike bucket
11/04/2026, 5:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/04/2026, 5:38:00 P.M. to 11/04/2026, 5:39:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
46% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15.51
Unexplained QUAI: 18.15
Explained QI: 2.48
Unexplained QI: 297.52
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
33.66 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743 • 0x005227B35D05Cb57271E58eF4304Fd80814E1F8d.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 34 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743 • 0x005227B35D05Cb57271E58eF4304Fd80814E1F8d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/04/2026, 5:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (54% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (46%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
Net sender
Unknown type
15.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005227B35D05Cb57271E58eF4304Fd80814E1F8d
Net receiver
Unknown type
15.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
2.48 QI across 1 visible row
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.48 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
19.84 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/04/2026, 5:37:42 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/04/2026, 5:36:38 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
33.66 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/04/2026, 5:38:46 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
99.41 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/04/2026, 5:35:34 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/04/2026, 5:39:50 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/04/2026, 5:40:55 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/04/2026, 5:34:29 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/04/2026, 5:41:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
15.51 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 5:38:23 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
To: 0x005227B35D05Cb57271E58eF4304Fd80814E1F8d
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2.48 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 5:38:23 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x007800a88136cbaa18cc6c915d3b9d444bd98b24e39654ccd161cad0f4df6992
15.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 5:38:23 P.M.
From: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
To: 0x005227B35D05Cb57271E58eF4304Fd80814E1F8d
Tx: 0x003a0001a61c374af5056ba7b68a30570522a4e1029df95e2d4db726525a5ef6