Spike bucket
11/04/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/04/2026, 2:09:00 P.M. to 11/04/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 338.91
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
15
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
274.74 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x000103Abe2CdFEa3570AECCC580863dCc72349ae.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 275 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x000103Abe2CdFEa3570AECCC580863dCc72349ae.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/04/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
338.91 QUAI across 15 visible rows
0x000103Abe2CdFEa3570AECCC580863dCc72349ae
Net receiver
Unknown type
105.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
52.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Net receiver
Unknown type
37.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
22.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate51 tx
639.02 QUAI • 69 addresses
11/04/2026, 2:08:46 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/04/2026, 2:07:42 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
274.74 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/04/2026, 2:09:51 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
416.28 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/04/2026, 2:06:37 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
64.17 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/04/2026, 2:10:55 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
156.33 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/04/2026, 2:05:32 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/04/2026, 2:11:58 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/04/2026, 2:13:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
105.16 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:44 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000103Abe2CdFEa3570AECCC580863dCc72349ae
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
14.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00425268e6F93AC858EE576892E6739A0B23153a
Tx: 0x0052007f89a89ddf7b701ed28ed55952ef173f2114a78ed5ca7bce23652cbc4c
6.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001a52e946DfF9d7F5d8e98bda1bb8F9CEfCc058
Tx: 0x0020004ba691da51ae71f88f59b491411e4568c1670049bd1f1a73fe7b2b14f2
22.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x000f000c4e96ae18e79e969bfe8827003b4c6c3fb9174689a2d6360433ffe51e
13.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x005f0033d7fb606728d20d7a8a1dd7bb4f61b8325f47a030ae4c9a9d1585bafd
7.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00219Effd4a47bA0d2D24F512D987f3B0B20F23A
Tx: 0x005e005e16fde797a86c46e20bd5dcd8a478973494001a85797b60d8135ac707
16.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:44 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Tx: 0x00350019041e9627190e6e01bb1a3215749cbfe30e454b987a12ca88a7ccf468
14.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:44 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
Tx: 0x0064000691164aa55ba536b2c27f30a1c97370aa2c79de8b27d60e6c5389c1cc
5.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:44 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002C49E29bEabb2E71c25DEafA706e077235ab25
Tx: 0x002b000bd464b9086fdcd5d48f7b7e2a1f294d1181349cd3d1121cd5f1c507f0
9.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:44 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0079d0F0104553d47f0DB40208a7a40f474e5e5A
Tx: 0x0018006fbb42eb07f7d712fae9a6491d5b4e836e95b7c600544be524340e76ba
37.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:44 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x007d0008ef60303b7cfa04eb186bf2712daced5822de5989f7a38f9b74057359
13.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:44 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
Tx: 0x001f003d9f5fc2bfe142ec5be6089b6a357f9ce9713f94bc657590ef7e19f8d0
14.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:44 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
Tx: 0x0056003f78efb55d690b6c55190f7ebb69166e96b5b68763b9e4da357f4118fb
6.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:44 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002E3d9A44C87B179Fe996e5fa183271c28c736F
Tx: 0x00400045462af1a09a65290996bf9ce14034e2e347b54a2d910d9059c926f67e
105.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:44 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000103Abe2CdFEa3570AECCC580863dCc72349ae
Tx: 0x007d006aabff0236a801bb506dfec3e69c2d8868f960c1d4bed1a7a7a3e88338
52.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:09:44 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0021006ca5225a3766f7123b7933eea0e19223c2b559c30631c23e78a0a20b20
