Spike bucket
11/04/2026, 1:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/04/2026, 1:14:00 P.M. to 11/04/2026, 1:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
67% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 668.84
Unexplained QUAI: 331.16
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
1,000 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1000 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 11/04/2026, 1:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (33% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
627.02 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Net sender
Unknown type
299.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
Net sender
Unknown type
117.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
107.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004AC3051C3CF518fCEB00534ee7f62d058c7869
Net sender
Unknown type
102.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 627.02 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
21.77 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:13:35 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate27 tx
1,092.23 QUAI • 37 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:12:31 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:14:40 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
668.84 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:15:43 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:11:23 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:16:47 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
976.65 QUAI • 62 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:10:19 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:17:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
299.97 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 1:14:59 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
107.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 1:14:59 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00290040704d8f233defb42f778242007563c7a4bdbea5fc6d7c88d5942f04a6
299.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 1:14:59 P.M.
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0072001bfeaab8de92cf2bc05aec713336fed95e55a6cae915c1d9be60ed2e82
117.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 1:14:59 P.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a000e619a9322c849492b281620bc1c5a2eab93e8d70aef63a8fbd232985b
102.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 1:14:59 P.M.
From: 0x004AC3051C3CF518fCEB00534ee7f62d058c7869
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00470078663bdf85d0cd06bbcd8ebc6c200d2467e7b6ec3b6211d58cc1c4877a
41.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 1:14:59 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x1Ce35579426F1b905D5eC563d8250Ed7da67d5C2
Tx: 0x0024002d38aa3c89b32c88cfaeee1df37c3a037241751ddf4d59e8929fe29c6b