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Spike bucket

11/04/2026, 6:14:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/04/2026, 6:14:00 A.M. to 11/04/2026, 6:15:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 18,526.39

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume

Relative context

3.8x above local average

0.9x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

26.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

14,089.87 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 14090 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6.

0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba -> 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 11/04/2026, 6:14:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

Gate.io hot wallet

Net sender

Exchange

12,076.39 QUAI across 1 visible row

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6

Net receiver

Unknown type

12,076.39 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba

Net sender

Unknown type

6,440 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A

Net receiver

Unknown type

6,440 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005bdeBa8c349c8ce7E1211f3CD15A8b7339e6A6

Net sender

Unknown type

10 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba → 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A

2 repeated flows • 6,440 QUAI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 12,076.39 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 15. The remaining 11 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.