Spike bucket
11/04/2026, 3:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/04/2026, 3:50:00 A.M. to 11/04/2026, 3:51:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
70% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 115.29
Unexplained QUAI: 49.29
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
3.4x above local average
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
164.58 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 165 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 11/04/2026, 3:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (30% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
57.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Net receiver
Unknown type
57.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
57.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040A7650a3bcBB984b0Fc61F23FA49e7e181846
Net receiver
Unknown type
57.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
164.58 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/04/2026, 3:50:19 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/04/2026, 3:49:14 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
115.29 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/04/2026, 3:51:23 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/04/2026, 3:48:11 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/04/2026, 3:47:07 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
109.04 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/04/2026, 3:52:30 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/04/2026, 3:46:03 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/04/2026, 3:53:33 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
57.84 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 3:50:25 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
57.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 3:50:25 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x0040A7650a3bcBB984b0Fc61F23FA49e7e181846
Tx: 0x00130017cb0342c460add0447e42547549cabba04102ff27bf1fa19fcc06ec6a
57.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 3:50:25 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Tx: 0x0013003f47b172666c2505953bbf0455f845e8df5612fc5005e33577901a70a2